We need to give people something to
believe in, we have to redefine "common sense".
When You Have Them on the Run That's the Time to Chase Them
There is a comparison between Gen. George Meade versus Gen. Ulysses S.
Grant in the United States Civil War. We have won a few from the
Republicans, now is the time to strike.
The 2000 Victory -- Building The Electoral Foundation for
Realignment
We have elected Democrats in all areas, even in the South. The
chapter ends with a brief outline of what the rest of the book will
cover.
C3 Getting Up Off the Floor --
The Battle to Stop the Privatization of Social Security
Following the 2004 Elections the Republicans were running high -- their
next goal -- dismantling social security. Groups on both sides of the
issue started mobilizing. The author was a part of the progressive
force.
The Defining Battle
Social Security is a defining progressive idea in America. It
embodies the progressive ideal that we are all responsible to others,
it also effects a dramatic contrast to cold to conservative values,
these state that everyone must fend for themselves. In this
chapter he describes the steps that were taken to fight the Bush
Proposal.
Job #1 -- Develop a Unified Message
The 1993 Parallel
Research showed that half of all voters would support "Privatization"
but if a suitably phrased message was delivered to them, then this
support would be minimized. The first task was to examine a the
previous healthcare debacle in 1993 under President Clinton. The
Republicans a made three major points: 1) To undercut the notion that
there was a healthcare crisis. 2) To argue that the that the American healthcare system was "best in the world." 3) To
convince public opinion that the Clinton cure was worse than the
"healthcare disease" -- that it would put in jeopardy "the best
healthcare system in the world ."
Three Strategic Message Objetives Like the Republicans did
in 1993, we had to accomplish three strategic objectives in order to
succeed:
1) We had to undermine the presumption that there was a Social Security "crisis." To be completely persuasive we needed to break it into two steps, the first was to state that Social Security would need minor tweaks but to privatize the Social Security Security Trust Fund would make it much worse and to argue that the right wing had fabricated the Social Security crisis, we needed to explain to the public why the right wing would do so.
2) We had to repeatedly assert that Social Security was a spectacular success. We had to focus the spotlight on the things people like about Social Security -- things that would be put at risk under the Republican plan.
3) We had to persuade public opinion that the right wing "cure" to the problems of Social Security was a lot worse than the disease. Research showed that there were two general arguments that were most compelling.
These were A -- the president's private privatization plan would cut cut benefits. B -- the president's privatization plan would massively massively increase the deficit. And in addition to this the AARP began an advertising campaign that emphasized the amount of risk and gambling that the plan entailed.
Job #2 -- Prevent Democrats From Proposing, Their Own "Solution"
In order for the Republicans to win they need some Democratic support,
Democrats couldn't afford any slippage.
Job #3 -- Take on the Presidential Road-Show
President Bush announced a four month long, 60 event tour. At each of
these stops, Americans United organized a counter message. They were
able to catch some of the president's supporters in illegal acts, they
filed Freedom of Information Requests, they came to Washington DC for
press conferences and meetings, and in general would not let the
president have any free publicity time.
Job #4 -- Naming the Battle
One of the most critical points was that they were able to name the
proposal. They called it "privatize" Social Security. Research showed
that most people would accept "personal accounts" but they did not want
to "privatize Social Security."
Job #5 -- Taking Them on at Home
The organized more than 1200 events in 37 states that were composed
angry groups of seniors to confront target members of Congress at town
meetings and public appearances. They also got state legislatures and
city councils to pass resolutions against privatization, and generated
tens of thousands of phone calls letters and e-mails to targeted
congressional offices.
The Turning Point The
final push was before the Senate Finance Committee on April 27, 2005. A
4000 person rally was scheduled, and 140 members of the House in
Senate, including the Democratic leadership of both houses, marched
into the bleachers at the front of the crowd and pledged not to
privatize social Social Security. This was the final turning
point. After that the Bush plan to privatize Social Security was dead.
It also signaled the end of the Conservative juggernaut in Washington
DC.
Section II
ADDRESSING Their Self Interest
C. 4 The Six Categories of Self Interest
Why do working-class whites supported Republicans? According to
Tom Frank in his What's the Matter With Kansas there are four possible
reasons.
To recap:
Persuadable voters have two characteristics:
They generally vote and they are undecided. These groups are
generally among those who share our self interest and don't know it
or are in the group of allies whose support for a candidate is not
certain.
Mobilizable voters also have two characteristics: They
would support
our candidate and they are unlikely to vote unless they are mobilized
to do so. They are generally either in the group which shares our
self-interest and know it or they are firmly committed allies.
Issue Campaigns Type -- the
Decision-Makers
The campaigns are not directed towards voters per
se. For
referenda or initiatives they are also voters however generally they
are Members of Congress, state legislators, Executive branch personnel,
or other public or private officials.
Additional Progressive Message Targets
For other purposes we may wish to focus on these following groups:
Activists, Contributors, Opinion Molders (including
Mavens, Connectors, & Salesman), Leaders, Organized Constituencies,
or The Press. A particular person may fall under several
categories, it is a essential that we keep them all straight so that we
can deliver the right message at the right time.
C. 14 Activists
This category includes anyone who takes an
active role in political or
voluntary or associations of any type . The key criterion
here is the willingness to be be involved in a common voluntary
activity.
Progressive Activist We
need to create an army of political activists across America. Cheering
at the TV set is fine, but is not useful. We need to create and
motivate activists and to structure opportunities for individuals to
make contributions.
Wherewithal and Will
We
need to inspire people to become active and we need to help them
understand what they can do and how they can do it.
Creating Different Roles
Since different people have different amounts of time energy and skill,
we need to create activities for each possible situation.
Invest in Training Before
potential activists can accomplish anything they need appropriate
training and skill development should be addressed early as possible.
Takes Them to 95th St.
This is an abbreviation for a
technique that he has used. We need to
move our potential activists along step-by-step. Don't ask them to make
large commitments until they have successfully completed smaller commitments.
Get 'Em While They're Young
It is a fairly well known fact that people seldom change their
political commitments as they age. It is imperative that we begin
recruiting activists and voters as early as we possibly can.
It Just Didn't Square
Young people bring all sorts of personal experiences and needs with them as
they grow up. We need to capitalize on those and use these experiencs
to lead into progressive political behavior. The author uses his
experience in junior high school demanding better food and his
experience in Presbyterian Church to complain about racism and social
implications of his religious beliefs.
The Duke Vigil Again
he uses his experience to demonstrate how progressive statements
can be made. The author was a student at Duke University when Martin
Luther King Jr. was shot. He discusses the ways in which this
tragedy was used to advance progressive principles.
Training a New Generation of
Progressive Organizers Again, an example, the author's
wife first ran for Congress in
1998, since money was tight they started a "1998 Chicago Campaign
School." They received 200 applications, selected the best 15, and put
them to work with constant training and supervision. By Election Day
they had accumulated and trained 1500 volunteers and 31,000
votes.
Swing Constituency Activists Swing constituencies include people and groups who share our self-interest but don't recognize it, and those in the "allies" category. Most of our work is the same but there is one big difference, before we can mobilize them we have to convince them that they share a part of our self-interests.
We Need to be Agitators In Saul Alinski's terms, an agitator
"rubs raw the source of
discontent." The agitator's job is to make sure that
everyone sees the injustices that you see.
The Coalition Rule Most
people will happily forgive their disagreement with many of your
positions on issues if you support them when it comes to the things
that matter most to them. However a coalition member will never forgive
or forget if you abandon them with respect to their principal
self-interests.
Making Allies Feel Comfortable While working with
conservatives on a particular issue,
it is very important to make sure that they are comfortable. He uses
the example of Bill Gates, Senior, the father of the richest men in the
world, as an example when they were trying to oppose Estate Tax repeal.
No Way to Run a Political System The
author documents on number of the evils of our current
system.
Make It Personal A potential donor must believe that the candidate can win -- but
that his victory is not such a slam dunk that hit that his contribution will
not matter. For larger donations there are often elements
of self interest. Many times the most important consideration is
direct access to the candidate, obviously a phone call from the
candidate is the best guarantee of this.
Inspire Them
The author believes that most donors are intensely practical. They want to
support a winner. Hard right donors will never support our candidates,
but neither will they support "Republicans-lite". A
strong, clear statement of progressive principles will actually help us
raise more money, not less.
C. 16 Option Moulders
This chapter is based upon Malcolm Gladwell's book: The Tipping Point.
Connectors
Connectors
seem to know everyone. They are very social. Whereas most
people may have dozens or even hundreds of private friends or
acquaintances, connectors have thousands. Connectors love to meet
people and to introduce the people they meet to other people. Most
people have a core set of strong social ties. But you can only have a
limited number of strong ties. Connectors have the same limits but what
they have in addition are many weak social ties, people they see or
communicate with only periodically.
Training and Recruiting Leaders
At present, there is not a body of theory and a large number of
engineering tables that can be used by a progressive leader. What's we
have is experienced practitioners who can be called on to train novices.
So our goal is not to teach a theory but rather to give the learner a
large number of potential answers along with some rules as to when to
use them. The author posts three specific tactics that will help
Progressives produce more progressive leaders.
Progressive Constituencies
Just a simple list of the usual Democratic constituencies and the
suggestion that we support them all.
C.
19 Earned Media -- The Press.
Members of the media have a unique and powerful role in shaping the
political, economic, and cultural bylaw in the United
States. For this reason they have to be treated
appropriately by campaigns.
Uses of Radio Even
though radio is the least important of the sources of order
information, it can be very useful in certain circumstances. This is
very true in communities with Hispanic and other immigrants where other
media coverage is limited.
The
War Room A communications center for the 1992 Clinton campaign was set up
by James Carville and Paul Begala to instantly counter Republican
statements or to observe developing situations and immediately frame a
position on them.
In an election, persuadable and mobilizeable
voters are never the same people -- and our communication, which sees
two distinct groups has two different goals. Our message to the
persuadables is intended to convince them to vote for our candidate
when they cast their ballot. Our message to mobilizables is not
intended to convince them to vote for our candidate. By
definition they are already likely to support our candidate. Our
message to mobilizables is intended to convince them to go to the polls
and cast a ballot -- to take action.
Conservative Activists In
many cases you will be forced into direct
competition with conservative activists.
You will not be able to convince them of the correctness of your cause
using any argument whatsoever. They're really only two ways that they
can be deactivated. The first is to carefully pick a small battle in
which you can win and the
second is to completely surround them in an echo chamber of our
positions and assumptions. We need to make them feel that they are
not mainstream to make them feel isolated.
C. 15 Contributors
Raising
money is always going to be a problem. There are big-money,
high income progressive contributors out there, however there are more
conservative contributors. Which puts us at a disadvantage. The
Internet is our major answer to this disparity. However it cannot be
used to replace big-money donors, merely to augment them.
Internet fundraising does not eliminate the critical necessity for
publicly funded elections.
To Get Public Financing of Elections We Need Candidates Willing to Raise Money Unfortunately we cannot wait until we get public financing. We have to operate today under our current laws. To get public financing we will have to support candidates who can raise money under today's laws but who are also dedicated to public financing. Don't waste time with people who are not willing to get out there and money grub.
Mavens
Connectors
connect people with people, a maven connects people with
information. A Maven is obsessed by learning all they can about one or
more subject areas, the second is that they are eager to share that information, to
be helpful. Many mavens are political mavens, they can be used as major
sources of political information. They can also be used to spread
political information. They can typically be found by just asking
almost anyone "Who knows about local politics around here?" And within
a few tries you'll find most if not all the local political mavens.
Salesmen
Mavens
are not persuaders, they think of themselves more as teachers.
Gladwell goes into a great deal of discussion regarding salesman. There
is a large amount of scientific information as to how and why salesmen
are so successful but for our purposes it is enough to know that some
people have an intuitive understanding of this process and are
excellent salesman. Both the author and Gladwell used Bill Clinton as
an example of the super salesman.
The Function of Connectors,
Mavens, and Salesmen
Gladwell
discusses what sociologists would refer to as a diffusion
model that analyzes spread of a contagious idea, product, or
innovation. One diffusion model divides the population into five
categories of actors:
Gladwell argues that once the Innovators came up with a new idea, the
Early Adapters were willing to take risks but the Early Majority is
much more risk-averse. It is the role of the Connectors, Mavens, and
Salesman to transmit these ideas from the Early Adapters to the Early
Majority. In doing this they must be seen as a legitimate and
trust-worthy source of information.
Gladwell uses the example of Howard Dean's run for the
presidency. Dean made heavy use of the Internet early on and was
very successful. However in Iowa, the Kerry campaign had already
enlisted most of the local Connectors, Mavens, and Salesman and the
Dean supporters were seen as outsiders who could not necessarily be
trusted.
What Causes Tipping Points?
Gladwell
argues that there are two distinct factors that cause an idea
to spread throughout a culture. The first is that it must be
"contagious" -- how easy can it be transmitted, and this second factor
is "stickiness" -- once the idea is transmitted to you, how easy is it go infect you and for how long. Is the idea "sticky?"
A Movement of Hispanic
Realignment
Two
examples are given to explain the spread of an idea. The first is
the passage of Congressman Sensenbrenner's Immigration Bill that made
felons out of all 12 million undocumented immigrants in the United
States and anyone who knowingly help them. This so enraged hispanics and others to whom civil rights are important that protests spread across the county very rapidly. The second was the winning campaign of Harold Washington to become the first black mayor of
Chicago.
C. 17 Leaders There
is only
one quality that separates leaders from all others, a leader has
followers.
Progressive Leaders
The
number one strategic goal is very simple: we need to elect,
promote, recruit, and train large numbers of progressive leaders who
have the skills to project the qualities necessary to make Americans
follow them. The reason is simple. Most people do not follow ideas or
ideologies or positions, they follow people
-- living, breathing human beings.
Leaders Who Are -- or Could Be --
Progressive Allies
These are leaders within organizations that are not normally allied
with progressives. However for specific purposes common cause can be
made with them and they could prove invaluable to us. An
important factor is that as a leader, they have followers.
Asking Followers to Enlist Leaders As
Progressive Allies
This is very similar to the previous category, however here we are
asking the followers directly and pushing them to get their leader to
go along with our ideas.
Getting Leaders and Followers to
Reinforce Each Other Something is going on that you don't like. You invite some leaders to give a talk about this problem. Then you publicize the event so that many people come. The leaders may know very little about the subject but they will have to learn something to talk. The public probably knows little about the subject either, but since the leaders are speaking about this, it is probably important. They will ask the leaders questions which further convinces the leaders that the subject is important. The author used this technique and invited two Congressmen to speak on mortgage redlining. The end result is that the Congressmen came away convinced that the community was concerned and the community was convinced that the Congressmen were concerned. This is primarily a sneaky way of mobilizing both leaders and followers.
The Cockroach Theory of Lobbying
The
idea here is that if you see one cockroach in your kitchen you
assume there are thousands more behind the walls. Normally a very small
percentage of constituents contact to their legislators. If you can get
a number to contact their legislator on a particular issue the
legislator is very likely to think that there are many, many, more who
are concerned about this issue.
Leaders of the Opposition
Conservative leaders are not going to support our ideas. The only
weapons we have are to defeat them and to demoralize them.
Hang One in the Public Square This
idea comes directly from
Machiavelli in The Prince.
You don't have to hang all of your opponents. You just need to hang one
in the public square. We don't have these particular alternatives
available to us today, but we can take a particularly vulnerable member
of the opposition and make life miserable for him. Another tactic is
find one of the opposition who is notably thin skin, sometimes known as
squealer's, they are members
with a low threshold for political pain, they make sure everybody knows
they are unhappy. This can cause a great deal of demoralization among
the members of the enemy camp.
Fomenting Division between Opposition Leaders
The conservative coalition has a major, and unstable, fault line
between the upper income economic conservatives and the lower income
social conservatives. This can very often be pushed to create
dissension within their ranks.
Blue Demographics
Several
demographic groups are very important to Democrats, these are
ethnic minorities, immigrants, knowledge workers, people living in
metropolitan areas, single women, and younger voters -- 30 years of age
and younger typically vote Democratic. Older white males
and people who attend church regularly typically vote for Republicans.
When dealing with constituency groups, the most important thing you can
do is simply "show up". You need to go to their dinners, their
meetings, their festivals, and simply take an interest in their
activities. The next thing is to communicate with them in language and
symbols to which they can relate. Use Connectors, Mavens, and Salesmen
from the group to translate our messages to that group. Go to the group
and ask their leaders what you can do to assist them in their problems.
Their leaders can be asked to join "ethnic councils" or "labor
advisory boards" or other venues which advised a candidate or
officeholder. If you have identified yourself with a
constituency group and side with them when times are difficult they
will remember this for a long time.
The Secret of How to Turn White, Male
Gun Owners into Democrats (Hint, It's a Five Letter Word)
The
word is union. One of the reasons why conservatives are so
anti-union is that unions are one of the biggest recruiting areas for
Democratic votes.
Swing Constituencies --
Allies He mainly discusses religious groups in this section.
Other Swing Constituencies
In the authors point of view these are smaller, primarily employment
groups, that are not necessarily allined with either party on a
consistent basis. However in specific fights they can be valuable
allies. Some of these are pharmacists, artists, nurses, teachers,
doctors, lawyers, pilots, farmers, milk producers, social workers, and
insurance agents.
Opposition Constituencies
In the past Democrats have been far too willing to write off specific
groups as being "Republican". Many are, especially the older
ones, but younger members of the group may very well be more
progressive, and can be convinced to vote for progressive candidates.
Self Interests of the Media
Members
of the media have specific self interests that are important,
here are eight of them.
Many
journalists have high standards and ethics. We must understand that
most of them see themselves as objective free agents who have no
ideological axes to grind beside the person pursuit of truth. You
should never assume that anything you say is truly a "off the record."
One of the techniques that
he has used is a "fly around", the author is a pilot and he has used
something like a "In a five city fly around to release a new
report..." Another technique is used is to take over news events
sponsored by conservatives.
Which Media Influences the Voters?
The
author presents the results of a study which determine the relative
importance of media sources for voters. The results were 1) Local TV,
2) Cable News Networks, 3) Newspapers, 4) Network News, and 5)
Radio.
Small-Town and Rural Media
In
rural areas where big city coverage is quite limited, people often get
most of their information on state and national scene on TV but
local news will be covered strictly by the local radio station or
weekly newspaper.
Creating the Echo
Chamber
One
of our key strategic goals is to surround swing voters and our
opponents with an echo chamber reflecting our values and positions --
to create a sense that our views represent the consensus of the
mainstream. These can include
Letters to the Editor, Blogs, Articles in
neighborhood or alternative papers, and Call-ins to radio talk shows.
Using Base Media to Affect the Broader
Political Dialogue He
makes the point that far-right talk show radio seems to work better for
Conservatives than it does for Liberals. However blogs and
YouTube seem to work better for Progressives.
Section IV
THE PRINCIPLES OF
POLITICAL COMMUNICATION
C.
20 Persuadable and Mobilizable Voters
Persuadable voters are voters
that have two
characteristics: they are
likely to vote, and they are undecided.
Mobilizeable voters
also have two characteristics: they support our candidate, but they are
unlikely to vote unless we mobilize them to go to the polls.
In elections, the subject of a campaign's persuasion message is the
candidate. The subject of the mobilization message is the voter
we are trying to motivate. In the campaign you constantly
hear the media, the pundits, and even political consultants tell us
what the message is perhaps the economy, national security, education,
or taxes. This is never true. The subject of a campaign message is
never an issue, or even a problem. The subject of a persuasion message
is always the same the candidate. It's all about which candidate will
be elected to the office.
C. 21 The Nine Qualities
These are the nine major candidate qualities that stand out as most important
in persuading undecided voters to support candidates.
Quality #1 -- Is the Candidate
on My Side? Will
the candidate stick up for me, fight for me, help me achieve my
goals? Partisan voters have already made up their minds on
this point, as an example it took the combined policies of FDR and JFK
to convince African-Americans to vote for Democrats rather than
Republicans after the Civil War. Different factors determine who
appears to be "On My Side". A "conflicted" voter will move one
way or another depending upon which set of their own self interests
they feel is most important at that particular time and place. It has a
lot to do with who is controlling the political dialogue at the time of
the election. The competing candidate who frames
the symbols most successfully has an obvious advantage.
Quality #2 -- Does the Candidate Have
Strongly Held Values -- Is He Committed to Something Other Than
Himself?
Voters want leaders who want to serve in public office, who want to
lead him because they believe in something other than their own
personal advancement for status. Appearing to be a leader who has
strong core values, stands up for something and talk straight is not
just the right thing to do. It is also good politics. He maintains many
examples some of their these are McCain, JFK, Al Gore, John Kerry and
others.
Quality #3 -- Is the Candidate a
Strong, Effective Leader?
Being a good leader is important, but not as
important as being on your
side. People would rather have a weak leader who is on their side
than a strong leader who is against them -- and they should. He
gives the examples of Dukakis versus Bush in 1988 and Bush's response
to Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
Quality #4 -- Is the Candidate Self
Confident?
This is the point that the Republicans have used extremely successfully
over the years. Republicans have been quick to accuse and
Democrats have been very, very slow to respond.
Quality #5 -- Does the
Candidate Respect Me?
Voters will forgive many elapses in a
candidate but one they will
not forgive is being respected. The author gives a very nice
quotation from President Abraham Lincoln illustrating
this point.
Quality #6 -- Do the Voters Like or
Make An Emotional Connection with the Candidate?
This is one of the most problematical things for many candidates. Many
politicians are seemingly born with this ability, others are not. Just
compare Al Gore in 2000 to Bill Clinton. It is very difficult to change
your basic personality. The author gives a number of points that
anyone can use:
Quality #7 -- Does the
Candidate Have Integrity?
We all want our leaders to be honest, both of
their public and personal
lives. Unfortunately, lack of integrity is much easier to demonstrate
than integrity is. To counter this a candidate has to be
extremely careful in their private and public life. All it takes is one
event to ruin a career.
Quality #8 -- Does the Candidate Have
Vision?
The author uses several examples, George H W
Bush's bid for
reelection was undermined by what he called "The Vision Thing,"
John Kennedy and Bill Clinton were both very successful in using
this. In 2002 the Democratic Congressional Campaign
Committee decided to focus local campaigns on local issues
instead of national priorities. They lost a lot of seats in
Congress.
Quality #9 -- Does the Candidate
Inspired Me?
The author breaks leadership into two types, the first,
Transactional Leadership
involves exercising the normal everyday tasks of leading, managing
time, setting objectives, teambuilding, etc. The second he calls,
Transforming Leadership.
It is leadership that builds on people's need for meaning -- that
instills institutional purpose. He uses Richard Nixon or
Herbert Hoovert as examples of transactional leadership. He uses
people such as Jefferson, Lincoln, Roosevelt, and Kennedy as examples
of transforming leadership.
A similar analysis can be made for evaluating political parties.
If
candidates are running in part on their affiliation with the party, the
party as a whole has to be seen as having many of these same
attributes.
C. 22 Six Motivational Messages
for GOTV There
are three major reasons why people do not vote.
Messages about voter mobilization are not about a candidate
or party or political movement. They are about the feelings and attitude
of the voter himself and his or her relationship to the election and
the society in general.
GOTV Message #1 -- Your Vote Matters
-- It's Closer Than You Think
Many people will not vote if they think the
election results are a
foregone conclusion. That is why many candidates stress the issue that
the election is quite close.
GOTV Message #2 -- Inspiration Addressing this basic human need for meaning is the major component of the formula for voter mobilization -- and social mobilization in general.
GOTV Message #3 -- Fear Resolved into
Anger
Fear itself is counterproductive, it is immobilizing. However it can
be useful to use fear to get people angry and want to do something
about it.
GOTV Message #4 -- It's Us Versus Them
Football
teams (and others) sell themselves as members of the community, they
become "our" team and we all cheer for "our" winners. As a
political party we need to engender this sort of an atmosphere.
"Our" team needs to win and "our" stars need to score the winning
touchdown.
GOTV Message #5 -- "Let's Git "Em"
It's about punishing them for their sins in
the past. They stole
the election, their projects took the money that should have gone to
our kid's education, etc. We need to throw them our and put in
people who will carry our our desires.
GOTV Message #6 -- "I Won't Get off
Your Porch
until You Vote"
"I will knock on your door, call you, pass
you leaflets, and continued to
do it unto you vote." You need to just
continue going back to that
person time and time again until they actually vote.
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